Email: jonathan.aylen@mbs.ac.uk
Position
Senior Lecturer
Subject area group
Technology & Entrepreneurship Management & Policy
Biography
Jonathan Aylen joined PREST in October 2004. Previously, he was senior lecturer in the Centre for Manufacture at UMIST, following a move from the University of Salford. He has worked extensively with Dr Kevin Albertson of MMU on forecasting and on seasonality in time-series statistics. He is joint editor of a recent book with Dr Ruggero Ranieri on The Steel Industry in the New Millennium published by the Institute of Materials. He is currently preparing a book with Dr Ranieri on the history of the wide strip mill in Europe to be published by Merton Priory Press following a major Conference on the topic in Manchester in 2001. Jonathan is a member of a DEFRA Funded project led by Professor Handley exploring the impact of Climate on the Visitor Economy of the North West. Jonathan was educated at the Universities of Sussex, where he got a First Class Honours Degree in Economics, and Worcester College, Oxford and spent time as a merchant seaman. He won a national Partnership Award for innovative teaching in economics in 1995.Teaching and Research interests
His research interests and publications in economics and technology cover a range of topics including cost-benefit analysis of historic building preservation; innovation; international comparisons of performance; privatisation; choice of technique in steelmaking, computerisation in steel and rolling mill design.His research on forecasting has attracted sustained funding from Corus Engineering Steels. He has extensive experience working with small manufacturing firms in the North West of England, particularly on issues of supply chain management, factory layout and lean manufacturing. He is a joint convenor of "Forecasting for the Supply Chain" - an informal group of practitioners and academics that meets regularly to discuss supply chain issues.
Selected Publications
Journals
"Megabytes for Metals: development of computer applications in the iron and steel industry", in Ironmaking and Steelmaking, Vol. 31, 6, pp. 465-478, 2004, Jonathan Aylen
"Forecasting the Behaviour of Manufacturing Inventory", in International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 19, 2, pp. 299-311, 2003, Jonathan Aylen and K Albertson
"The Power of the Durbin Watson Test When the Regression Errors are PAR(1)", in The Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, Vol. 72, 6, pp. 507-516, 2002, Jonathan Aylen, K Albertson and K B Lim
"Where Did Generation V Strip Mills Come From?", in Steel Times, Vol. 229, 7/8, pp. 232-237, 2002, Jonathan Aylen
"Forecasting Using a Periodic Transfer Function: with an application to the UK price of ferrous scrap", in International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 15, 4, pp. 409-419, 1999, Jonathan Aylen and K Albertson
"Modelling the Great Lakes Freeze: forecasting and seasonality in the market for ferrous scrap", in International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 12, 3, pp. 345-359, 1996, Jonathan Aylen and K Albertson
Edited Books
"The History of European Wide Strip Mill (eds.)", Merton Priory Press, Cardiff, 2005 (forthcoming), Jonathan Aylen and Ruggero Ranieri
"The Steel Industry in the New Millennium - Vol 1: technology and the market (eds.)", Institute of Materials, London, 1998, Jonathan Aylen and Ruggero Ranieri
